Formulating a robust exit strategy is a critical part of the development process. When assessing an application for a development loan, the credibility of a clients’ proposed exit strategy will be reviewed and assessed in detail.
There are several ways a developer can exit a construction loan – the most common strategies being:
No matter the strategy, a lender’s comfort around this area of the transaction is paramount as this is how they expect to be repaid. Failure to clearly demonstrate how funds will be repaid and how you can execute on your strategy will likely result in the funding application being declined.
Learn how to create an exit strategy properly below.
Selling down completed stock (be it dwellings or sections) to realise profits is the most common exit strategy property developers adopt. This strategy enables profits to be recycled from one project into another upon completion. This “rinse and repeat” model enables developers to quickly scale their business and grow profits.
Many lenders will lend more aggressively against a ‘sales strategy’. This is because a ‘refinance’ (or ‘hold’) strategy requires the residual debt upon completion of the project to be refinanced. This means that any initial development funding provided by the initial lender cannot exceed an amount the developer will be able to borrower in the refinance market.
Refinancing requires the developer to meet servicing criteria (at a future point in time) which is largely unknown when they start construction. Because lending criteria (and interest rates) are constantly in flux, development lenders will be conservative when providing funding to clients to intend to hold their product.
As a result of the above, most lenders will lend more aggressively when the developer adopts a ‘sale strategy’. This means that selling down properties is a less capital-intensive compared to holding – not only because they can obtain greater leverage but also because the developer’s equity is not tied into the project over the long-term. Therefor, a developer’s return on equity tends to be higher over the short term.
Of course, there is an argument for both exit strategies as over the long term, holding can generate capital gain that can exceed any short-term gain generated through development.
Mainstream lenders such as banks typically require a certain number of pre-sales as a pre-condition to funding construction. In today’s environment, most NZ banks require between 100-130% presale cover to ensure that their debt can be repaid in full upon completion of the project. One of the reasons that (some) banks insist upon a pre-sale cover greater than their debt facility (say 130%) is to ensure that their debt can still be repaid should some purchasers default.
In contrast non-bank lenders have more flexible terms and can fund projects with no (or a limited number of) presales. They also have greater flexibility when determining what constitutes a ‘qualifying presale’.
If you have decided to obtain pre-sales, our suggestion is to always seek ‘bank’ quality pre-sales where possible (regardless of the individual lender’s requirements). Bank quality presales can be typically defined as follows.
Following the above principles will put you in a good place to obtain funding from most lenders.
Pre-selling has its perks when it comes to risk management however making such a decision will likely have broader implications for your project, particularly its profitability.
Below we look at some key points developers should consider when making this decision:
This one’s obvious – there is a reason that lenders insist on pre-sales. Pre-selling locks in revenue and protects your downside in the event of a decline in property prices. It also establishes a robust (often bankable) exit strategy via a watertight contractual arrangement. Selling at the end of a project will expose the developers to changes in market conditions leading us to our next point…the property cycle.
A firm grasp on what stage of the property cycle we are in will enable us to make more informed decisions when it comes to risk management and risk mitigation. Pre-selling in the growth phase will likely result in you leaving money on the table. A good example is a client who was building two-bedroom townhouses in Epsom, Auckland in 2020. Feedback from real estate agents (and an RV) had suggested an end value of $1.0m per unit. However, our client could see that the market was taking off and was convinced that his product would present better on completion. He decided not to pre-sell, instead listing his properties when they were nearing completion. Between starting construction and completion, the market had moved substantially and our client sold all ten units for greater than $1,150k per unit, a +$1.5M gain in revenue for the project.
What is the likelihood of cost escalations during construction? In recent years, property prices have skyrocketed; however, so too have construction costs. This created an interesting predicament for some developers who had sold off-plan. By pre-selling, you are locking in your revenue. This means that any increase in cost (no matter how minor) will directly impact profitability. We all saw the news article in 2021 where developers were trying to renege or renegotiate on pre-sale contracts. This is because construction cost escalation during the build had eroded their profits. In the meantime, property prices were well above their initial presale prices, giving them the incentive to try cancel presales to recapture a project’s margin. In such circumstances, ensuring that construction costs are fixed before starting a project, and retaining/holding back some stock are just some ways to mitigate the impact of escalating construction costs.
It is commonly accepted that selling off-plan/before the project has been completed results in the developer selling at a slight discount to market (up to 5% of the purchase price). This can be for various reasons including uncertainty about what will be delivered, time delays, hesitancy on what direction the market may head and so on. However, this is not a blanket rule. Some developers take advantage of this using comprehensive marketing packs and high-quality renders to upsell their development.
Supply and demand: understanding what competing stock is planned for delivery (and when) should inform your sales exit strategy. You may decide to sell on completion if there is no competing stock. If there is lots of competing stock, then it will likely be harder to sell on completion and days on the market will increase. If you are fully drawn on a construction facility, holding costs will quickly erode your development margin. In this instance, pre-selling (at least some) will enable you to reduce debt and de-risk your project.
Price validation: while agents and valuer’s provide an incredibly valuable service, even they can be wrong. If you are building an unusual typology or intend on building a product that is new for the area, then pre-selling will enable to you to test the price point of your product. This will underline revenue assumptions in your project feasibility and allow you to move forward with your build with confidence.
There is no one size fits all approach when it comes to developing a sales strategy. For this reason, instead of detailing an effective sales strategy we have posed some questions which we encourage all our clients to consider before launching their sales campaign.
A good sales agent will help develop a comprehensive sales strategy, and thus we suggest obtaining multiple proposals from various agencies (similar to a tender process) before committing to any one agent.
Undertaking a development without an exit strategy in place not only undermines your ability to obtain funding but can severely impact the viability of your project.
Pre-sales protect your downside; however, it can come at a cost. Deciding to sell on completion is still a viable strategy, so long as you clearly demonstrate how you will execute this and its rationale.
Being fully drawn on a construction loan facility with no exit in place will result in you incurring unnecessary holding costs which can quickly erode a project’s profit.
Be prepared on how to create and exit strategy; talk to ASAP Finance about funding your next project.
NZ’s largest financial institutions including the RBNZ, Treasury and most major trading banks provide forward guidance on NZ house prices as well as wider-ranging macro forecasts for the housing market. While such predictions make for good reading, they are of limited use when making investment decisions. This is because macro forecasts typically fall into one of two categories; unhelpful consensus forecasts that provide little to no competitive advantage, or non-consensus forecasts that are rarely correct.
One only needs to look back at predictions for the housing market in 2020 when covid-19 first emerged. In May 2020, the RBNZ forecasted a 9% decline in NZ house prices, however, by the end of 2020, REINZ was reporting a +17.3% increase in house prices. This is a 26% margin of error from an institution whose primary role is to maintain the stability of New Zealand’s monetary and financial system. In hindsight, one of the key reasons the RBNZ was so wrong was because unemployment levels never reached anything close to what was forecast – they also underestimated the extent to which low-interest rates would buoy the market.
Financial models are only as good as the assumptions made, and in the macro-economic environment, many assumptions need to be made. For this reason, we are always hesitant to make macro forecasts for the housing market. That said, a broad understanding of macro-economic factors can play a critical role in property – particularly when it comes to managing risk. Below we look at credit availability and its impact on the development funding market.
Credit availability describes the amount of funding that is available to the market. Most of the credit is provided via the major trading banks that facilitate investment in property (or other sectors) via investment loans. When banks tighten their lending criteria, funding becomes more difficult to obtain which in turn slows down investment in the sector.
Of late, there has been a significant tightening in lending criteria across all major banks. LVR restrictions, new responsible lending codes, and stricter servicing criteria are recent examples of banks making it more difficult to obtain funding. These changes predominantly impact investors and owner-occupiers who are looking to purchase property. However, we are now starting to witness a flow-on effect for property developers.
Almost all main banks require a project to have 100% presale cover prior to a development facility becoming available for drawdown. However, investors and first home buyers are finding it increasingly difficult to obtain finance on ‘off the plan’ purchases. This is creating an extremely challenging environment for developers who need to satisfy minimum presale requirements before they can draw from a construction facility.
In parallel, there is a general tightening in the development sector as banks take a cautious approach to supply chain issues and material shortages prevalent in the sector. Most banks are requiring increased contingencies in project budgets, higher levels of equity contribution, and key sponsors to have comprehensive development experience before a development facility is even considered.
Non-banks have been a primary beneficiary of banks restricting lending to the construction sector and developers are increasingly looking at alternate funding solutions that will enable them to move forward with their projects. In this regard, non-banks have greater flexibility with their funding lines and can often fund projects without presales, QS reports, and fixed-price contracts (read more about the notable ).
However, over the past few months, it has become apparent that even non-banks are struggling to keep up with the substantial increase in demand.
Having deployed all available funds, many non-banks are now at capacity and unable to onboard new clients or process new loans. In this context, even non-banks are starting to cherry-pick which transactions they fund with the lower risk transactions normally the first to be funded alongside existing client relationships.
To make matters worse, the churn rate (or the rate at which capital is recycled back into the market) is decreasing as delays to construction programmes push out expected repayment dates for projects across the country. Material shortages, inability to procure labour, and delays with council sign-offs and titles are all contributing factors to the current credit crunch.
Most lenders can attest to the increasing number of consented shovel-ready projects that are unable to get out of the ground for lack of funding. We have in previous blogs mentioned that it is prudent for developers to engage with lenders well in advance of funding being required; however, in current market conditions, it is absolutely imperative to do so. Relationships along with past performance will also be key, and developers who have taken the time to build strong relationships with their lenders will be in an advantageous position.
Looking ahead, we expect funding conditions to moderate in the medium term. As current projects are eventually completed, new funds will be deployed to the market. In the meantime, developers may have to consider selling down or holding off on starting their projects. To avoid being caught out:
As a market-leading property finance company in New Zealand, ASAP Finance can offer the residential, commercial, or development finance solutions your need to get your development off the ground. Get in touch with our knowledgeable team today for more information.
Stay tuned for our next blog where we take a high-level review of how movements in property prices can impact various sectors within the residential property market.
As a builder or developer, you will know that working in construction means being vulnerable to all kinds of risks, many of which can result in compensation claims or financial loss. The inherently unpredictable and dangerous nature of the work means that you, your employees, sub-contractors, and members of the public are all vulnerable to physical accidents as well as property damage.
Insurance is an effective mechanism for transferring the risk (and associated financial loss) should something go wrong. In return for accepting this risk, you pay a premium to your insurer. However, not all policies are the same.
As a developer or builder, it is essential to know what insurance policies provide the best protection to your project. Furthermore, all lenders will require you to have appropriate insunraac cover before putting in place a development finance solution. In this blog, we explore some critical construction insurance policies and why they are important.
Public liability insurance is a policy that covers compensation claims arising from personal injury or accidental damage or loss to someone else’s property. Most construction work takes place on a third-party property, so it is no surprise that contractors have a high level of exposure to public liability risk.
The three main levels of public liability cover are $5m, $10m, and $20m, with the higher levels of cover attracting the higher premiums—noting that cover in place should be reflective of the nature and scale of the contracts being entered. While specific insurance policies vary between providers, most include cover for legal defence costs in addition to damages or compensations awarded by the court.
Public liability insurance does not cover damages relating to the “contract works”—when a builder enters into a construction contract, it is the builder’s responsibility to complete the work in accordance with the contract. Therefore, any damage that the builder causes is their responsibility to resolve, until such time as the contract is complete. In other words, because there is no loss to a third party, the builder will not be able to file a public liability claim but may be able to claim under a contract works policy if the damage is accidental.
Lastly, liability resulting from faulty workmanship is generally excluded from public liability claims. As a result, when damage does occur, a common issue is ascertaining whether the damage is the result of an accident or faulty workmanship. Some providers offer cover for a contractor’s liability resulting from faulty workmanship as a policy add-on (in return for an increased premium); this is something that you should discuss with your contractor.
While public liability insurance is not mandatory by law, most construction contracts will require the builder and sub-contractors to have public liability insurance. Similarly, lenders will require public liability insurance to be in place prior to allowing funds to be drawn down from a construction facility.
Take an example where a contractor is doing earthworks and accidentally damages an underground power cable, or a scenario where contaminants are accidentally discharged into a neighbour’s stormwater line. The costs to remediate such damage has the potential to be financially crippling for the contractor. And as a developer, you need to know that your contractor has the financial capacity to successfully deliver your project.
While public liability insurance is not mandatory by law, most construction contracts will require the builder and sub-contractors to have public liability insurance. Similarly, lenders will require public liability insurance to be in place prior to allowing funds to be drawn down from a construction facility.
Take an example where a contractor is doing earthworks and accidentally damages an underground power cable, or a scenario where contaminants are accidentally discharged into a neighbour’s stormwater line. The costs to remediate such damage has the potential to be financially crippling for the contractor. And as a developer, you need to know that your contractor has the financial capacity to successfully deliver your project.
Contract works insurance, also known as “builder’s risk insurance”, is an insurance policy that provides cover for sudden and accidental losses to the contract works. Policies can include both new builds and renovations of existing structures and will generally cover damage resulting from fire, theft, vandalism, construction collapse, some natural disasters, and other accidental damage to the contract works.
Almost all construction contracts will require contract works insurance to be put in place before works can commence. You can also be certain that your lender will require contract works insurance to be in place (and in an acceptable form) prior to drawing down from any construction finance loan facility.
When putting in place contract works insurance, there are a few key things to consider:
Insured sum: The insured sum is the maximum amount the insurer will pay you (less any excess payable) in the event of a total loss. For a partial loss, the insurer will pay a fair proportion of the insured sum. For this reason, it is extremely important that the insured sum is sufficient to cover the cost of replacing or remediating the damaged property.
For example, if the contract value to build a house is NZD$1,000,000, then you would expect the insured sum to be no less than this amount. You should also consider what additional allowances need to be made for demolition, professional fees, and construction costs escalation when considering the insured sum. Keep in mind that for commercial contracts, the insured sum should always be plus GST.
Should you under-insure your project, then any funds paid on a successful claim will not be sufficient to remediate the property in full. This will require you to bridge any shortfall in funding, putting the entire project at risk.
Cover period: Your policy should be in place for however long it takes to complete the “contract works”. In other words, the period of cover should match the construction period in your development programme. Furthermore, irrespective of the expiry date on your policy, contract works cover typically ceases upon the earlier of the following happenings:
To clarify, practical completion can occur weeks before a code of compliance certificate is issued by a relevant territorial authority, during which your property may not be insured. It is essential that you engage with your insurer to understand when your policy expires and to have a general fire and risk policy arranged for when your contract works insurance expires. After all, any loan facility provided to you by your lender will require your property to be insured at all times; failure to arrange the proper insurance may result in a “technical default.” To avoid this, insurers provide optional “completion cover” add-ons, which cover you for a specified period after the construction period or contract period is over.
Interested Parties: An interested party is someone that has a financial interest in your property. For contact works, this will usually be your lender; after all, it is likely their funds are being used to complete the development. Most lenders will require their interest noted on the policy; if so, advise your broker before putting the policy in place, as they will need to update the certificate of currency.
Exclusions: Contract works insurance covers costs arising from all kinds of accidental damages to the contract works. However, there are certain kinds of damages that are typically excluded. Below we explore some of these in more detail.
What gets excluded and what gets covered can vary from policy to policy, and it is for builders and owners to figure out which policy works best for their requirements.
Statutory liability insurance protects businesses from any fines and penalties resulting from unintentional breaches of New Zealand laws. This can include breaches of the Resource Management Act, the Building Act, the Health and Safety at Work Act, and other relevant acts. As with public liability, cover typically includes associated legal defence costs relating to prosecution under New Zealand’s legislation.
Examples of statutory liability claims include failure to comply with a resource consent condition, pollution of land or waterways with runoff from the site and building without correct consents.
Knowing what your construction insurance policies cover (and what they don’t) is a critical part of reducing project risk. Should you, your contractors, or consultants not have adequate cover in place, you may be vulnerable to significant loss; such losses could undermine the success of your project as well as your business’s ability to operate as a going concern.
As is the case with most things, it pays to research options in the market and to seek professional advice. Engage with specialist financial advisors who have experience in construction insurance and access to a wide pool of products available in the market. Consult with ASAP Finance today!
COVID-19 triggered a global economic recession in 2020, and central banks across the globe reacted by slashing interest rates – a standard practice to prop up liquidity and stimulate the economy.
More than a year later, regulators are still holding off on hiking the rates back up due to the continued effects of the pandemic. But New Zealand is about to buck that trend in 2021 and become the first advanced economy to raise interest rates. The move was widely expected in August but has since been postponed due to the country’s first COVID outbreak in six months. This outbreak is only a temporary setback – the smart money remains firmly on the RBNZ to hike the rates later in 2021, and it would be hard to deny that the New Zealand property market has played a major role in that.
Here, we look at how rising interest rates will impact the real estate market and residential development finance in 2021.
The New Zealand housing market is facing an affordability crisis in 2021. This did not happen overnight – it was years in the making. In the decade after the last global recession in 2008-09, the New Zealand economy had bounced back strongly.
Rising income levels, strong immigration, overseas investment, and lower interest rates have combined to drive demand in housing to historic highs. Even when the economic recovery started losing steam by 2018-19, the lowering of interest rates and traditionally low supply of properties ensured the boom in the New Zealand property continued.
When COVID struck in 2020, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) responded by slashing the interest rate (OCR) by 0.75%. That move brought the OCR to 0.25%, the lowest recorded in recent memory. Even as the wider economy stalled under the strain of COVID, property prices showed no sign of slowing down.
The RBNZ has tried to use other measures like higher Loan-to-Value Ratio (LVR) restrictions to rein in the housing prices, with limited success. In Q1-Q2 2021, it had soared to a 31% increase. A hike in interest rates now seems to be the only readily available tool for address the current housing crisis, noting the RBNZ has called the current rates “unsustainable.”
There are numerous factors at play in a dynamic free market, and a rise in interest rates rise can play out in many ways. But in a “healthy” market, the impact of a hike on the real estate business is quite well established.
Interest rates determine the cost of debt. They force banks and other lenders to charge a higher interest rate on top of the principal amount in loans, including home loans. Simply put, when the interest rate is low, it is good news for property buyers – credit is cheaper and mortgage rates are decreased. A hike in the rates has the opposite effect – as mortgage rates increase, houses become less affordable, and the cost of servicing debt rises. Even an increase of 1% interest rate can have a significant impact on mortgage costs. You can expect monthly payments to increase by an average of 10-15%.
For example, Auckland’s median house price is $1,175,000. Assuming an 80% LVR (or 20% deposit), the average Aucklander will have a loan of $940,000.
If Jim has a $940,000 mortgage on a 30-year term with a 3% fixed interest rate, he will pay $3,963 in interest each month. Increase the interest rate to 4% and that payment increases by 13% to $4,488.
Rising interest rates do not just affect buyers, those looking to sell property also face challenges when mortgage rates increase. Selling a house at a higher price becomes harder, as there are fewer buyers who can afford it at the prevailing mortgage rates. For investors, not all will be affected the same; in the face of higher debt servicing costs, highly leveraged investors will likely need to sell properties to reduce the debt exposure. Others, who are well capitalised, may benefit from an increased demand for rentals properties (and subsequent increase in rents) as demand for new homes falls.
When interest rates are increased, real estate prices do usually decline (noting that these price adjustments can take some time to be realised by the market). New Zealand banks and lenders have already started adjusting mortgage rates in anticipation of expected interest rate hikes later this year.
In the current context of the New Zealand property markets, an interest rate hike is likely to be a welcome move. While lower rates are ideal for the growth of the market, in excess, it can lead to overheating. Keep in mind that interest rate rises generally occur in response to strong economic activity. The labor market is strong with low unemployment and a recent revival of wage growth. In this context, an interest hike is not likely to have any serious adverse effects on New Zealand property prices and should be well accommodated by the market.
Furthermore, New Zealand has experienced one of the lowest cumulative restrictions in the OECD, even accounting for the recent outbreak. This has insulated our economy from severe shocks, with the country faring better than many of its peers, with positive growth – in contrast, across the Tasman, Australia does not expect growth to resume until 2024.
This is not to say that the industry does not have its headwinds. Higher rates, tighter credit conditions, changes to tax policy, and increased supply will all have their part to play over the next 12 months. At ASAP, we remain optimistic and continue to seek new funding opportunities for 2021 and beyond.
We are a market-leading property finance company in New Zealand, offering bespoke residential and commercial property finance nation-wide. Talk to one of our expert team members today for expert advice on the NZ property market.
New Zealand Finance Minister Grant Robertson now requires the Reserve Bank (RBNZ) to consider the impact its monetary policy decisions have on house prices, following a revision to RBNZ’s remit. This has created some significant ripples in the property finance sector.
While the Government’s Monetary Policy Committee’s main objectives remain unchanged (targeting inflation and employment), the revised remit will increase focus and understanding on the Banks OCR decisions and the impact on house price sustainability.
The rationale is simple—record-breaking low interest rates have bolstered demand for housing and credit, pushing house prices to astronomical levels. This change has called into question the Government’s stated commitment to improving housing affordability for all New Zealanders.
The revised remit stipulates the Government’s policy is to “support more sustainable house prices, including dampening investor demand for existing housing stock, which would improve affordability for first-home buyers.”
Robertson said the Committee could decide how its decisions take account of housing consequences, but it will need to explain how it has sought to assess their impacts regularly. The new remit takes effect from 1 March.
The Monetary Policy Committee has stressed, “prolonged monetary stimulus” (low-interest rates) is necessary to protect employment and promote economic expansion following the economic shock caused by COVID-19. It said it would maintain the current policy until it was confident inflation is “sustained” at 2% per year, and employment is “at or above” its maximum sustainable level.
In this regard, we do not expect the revised remit to impact OCR decisions. In fact, the RBNZ openly opposed the New Zealand’s Governments initial proposal late last year to require it to consider house prices when setting monetary policy, arguing it would instead be made to view house prices through the way it regulates banks (through macro-prudential tools such as ‘loan-to-value ratios’ and ‘debt-to-income ratios’).
Despite such opposition, the new directive has been issued to the RBNZ (under section 68B of the Reserve Bank Act). In a statement from RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr, the Governor reinforced his previous comments, saying that the RBNZ’s actions are among “many” that influence house prices.
However, finance minister Grant Robertson asked the RBNZ to provide advice on restricting borrowers’ debt-to-income ratios and interest-only mortgages.
“I want to understand the extent to which interest-only mortgages (particularly to speculators) pose risks to financial stability and whether restrictions should apply,” he said. He added that jurisdictions such as Australia have in the past applied restrictions on interest-only mortgages due to financial stability risks.
He said he had already made clear in principle that he would want these to apply only to investors, thereby impacting those wishing to attain investor loans. “It’s important that any potential restrictions do not disproportionately affect first-home buyers and low-income borrowers,” said the finance minister.
Orr had earlier told the media that he did not share Robertson’s view. Orr said: “It is incredibly difficult to segment any market and any individual with macro-prudential tools. The phrase “macro” means it’s the same tool for all. So, pretending we could fine-tune for a particular set or groups comes with great challenge and implications.”
The RBNZ has already applied more onerous loan-to-value ratio (LVR) restrictions on residential property investors than it has on owner-occupiers, requiring them to have larger deposits when taking out mortgages.
Should the Government agree with the RBNZ’s recommendations, it would not be surprising to see debt-to-income ratios and restrictions on interest-only loans implemented in 2021. While such measures may take some heat out of the market, the single most crucial factor driving current market conditions remains interest rates.
Want to know more about the financial world or obtain a construction loan of your own? Talk to one of our experienced, business-minded lending managers today; we can help you get your project off the ground.
As has long been forecasted, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has now moved to reinstate higher Loan to Value ratios(LVRs). There were no restrictions last year, meaning buyers could potentially purchase a home while putting down a smaller down payment. However, the property market has since boomed, prompting the RBNZ to consult interested parties on whether to reinstate the LVRs.
The government seems to have been the only party surprised with the housing market’s vigorous rebound over the past year. Now, the government is predictably encouraging the RBNZ to try and slow down the rally in property prices. In this blog post, we’ll review why the LVR restrictions have been reinstated, what the predicted results are, and how this will impact commercial and residential development finance.
Prompted by the government and the expanding house price bubble, this move to reinstate LVR restrictions is expected to slow the surge in house prices, but not until the second half of 2021. The RBNZ has announced that it will be cracking down on bank lending to residential property investors and will reinstate the tougher LVR restrictions that were in place last year. From May 1, at least 95% of new bank lending to residential property investors will have to go to borrowers with deposits of at least 40%. Essentially, the RBNZ is targeting residential property investors with new, higher LVR restrictions. Generally, most commercial investors will once again need 40% deposits, while most owner-occupiers will need 20% deposits.
As an interim measure, from March 1 to April 30, this deposit requirement will be set at 30%. The RBNZ says it is taking a “staged approach” to enable banks to manage their pipelines of loan applications that have been approved, but not yet settled. However, it expects lenders (both banks and non-bank lenders ) to respect the 40% rule “immediately with all new loan approvals”.
As for owner-occupiers, from March 1, at least 80% of new bank lending will need to go to borrowers with deposits of at least 20% – the level LVRs were at before removal last year.
In a press release from the NZ Property Investors Federation executive officer Sharon Culwick was quoted, claiming that the move would inevitably slow down the housing market, making it harder for first home buyers and investors to enter the market. “’The larger deposits required may not stop those people who are looking for an investment option, which is an alternative to the extremely low term deposit rates offered by the banks,’ said Culwick.”
She noted that during the last year, there had been a significant increase of new investors entering the market. And that those investors had purchased on the proviso that house prices would continue to rise at the same levels recently seen.
“Capital gains, however, should only be considered a bonus and not be relied upon,” she said, adding: “In any case, these Reserve Bank restrictions may not make a significant difference to some property investors who have already been hindered by the banks’ internal Debt-To-Income and serviceability rules over the last two years. These restrictions are an internal process that safeguards the financial stability of banks.”
RBNZ Deputy Governor Geoff Bascand says LVR restrictions were removed last year “to ensure they didn’t interfere with COVID-19 policy responses aimed at promoting cash flow and confidence.
“Since then, in part due to the success of the health and economic policy responses, we have witnessed a rapid acceleration in the housing market, with new records being set for the national median price, and new mortgage lending continuing at a strong pace,” Bascand said. “We are now concerned about the risk a sharp correction in the housing market poses for financial stability. …A growing number of highly indebted borrowers, especially investors, are now financially vulnerable to house price corrections and disruptions to their ability to service the debt.”
The Reserve Bank has warned that the overheated housing market is at growing risk of a correction necessitating the changes. However, The NZPIF does not believe the new regulations will have any impact on the housing crisis, which is largely driven by lack of supply. “If anything, housing stock for rent will be gradually reduced as property investors are prevented from entering the market. This will put more pressure on those groups who are already struggling to find a place to live,” said Culwick.
Therefore, property investors and owner-occupiers alike need to have the right tools and expertise at hand to navigate these reinstated conditions. For investors in particular, the expert team at ASAP Finance can help.
Beyond the see-saw of LVR restrictions imposed by the RBNZ, supply demand considerations remain a key focus at ASAP Finance. We continue to work hard to ensure adequate funding is made available to our clients for residential developments. It is here that we know we can make the most difference, by doing our part to ensure the successful delivery of new housing stock to the New Zealand property market.
COVID-19 has caused widespread disruption across global markets resulting in job losses and economic hardship. In response, countries across the globe have been implementing economic policy to soften the blow of the current crisis. In New Zealand, the Reserve Bank’s response was swift, immediately lowering the OCR from 1% to 0.25%, and announcing (what would become) a NZ$100B bond buying programme. These measures were considered necessary to lower borrowing costs and to achieve the banks inflation and employment targets.
Acknowledging that further monetary stimulus would be required, the RBNZ asked trading banks to prepare for alternate monetary policy including negative interest rates and a funding-for-lending programme (FLP). Trading banks were advised to prepare for these policies before year end with the Reserve Bank recently announcing that the FLP would commence in December 2020. Property finance companies geared up for change. Investors wait for what the end of the year would bring.
Below we explore these new policies and how they may impact New Zealand households and businesses – the future on which New Zealand’s economy now relies upon.
New Zealand businesses and consumers are the lifeblood of our economy – they are what will keep the country’s economy turning. However increased uncertainty may lead many people to sit on the side-lines, deferring consumption and investment decisions until a more certain future is evident. This decline in economic activity threatens jobs and creates deflationary pressures on pricing. To mitigate these risks, lower retail interest rates are needed to stimulate economic activity – where lower rates would reduce funding costs and improve cashflow for households and businesses.
The Reserve Bank cannot directly control retail interest rates – they only influence wholesale rates. Trading banks hold deposit accounts at the Reserve Bank, where the Official Cash Rate (OCR) is the interest rate the Reserve Bank pays trading banks on their deposits. When the OCR is moved down, it reduces a banks cost of funds. The flow on effect to retail interest rates is simply a result of open market competition amongst the various trading banks.
With the OCR at just 0.25%, the RBNZ has little room to lower it further – hence the need for the RBNZ to explore a negative OCR.
A negative OCR simply means that banks would be charged to hold cash on overnight deposit accounts. This would incentivise banks to lend or invest their funds in order to avoid paying a holding cost, providing stimulus to the economy. In this sense, a negative OCR influences economic activity with the same strength as a positive OCR.
For household and businesses, lending and deposit rates would decline but do not expect to see them go negative. Retail mortgage rates are set based on a margin, in accordance with funding requirements and broader risk assessments. This margin would be applied to lending to ensure that retail mortgage rates remain above zero. For deposit rates, they will get near to zero but there is a limit as to how low they can go – the closer to zero deposit rates get, the less incentive customers have to deposit funds with a bank. This is an important consideration as deposits are a critical source of funding for banks.
The New Zealand economy has been surprisingly resilient across key measures of employment, household spending, GDP, and asset prices. The housing sector in particular has performed exceedingly well, with the RBNZ now expecting house prices to increase by 10% for 2020. A complete reversal from the 10% decline predicted earlier this year. With this in mind, the likelihood of the Reserve Bank adopting negative rates is slim.
For now, its priority is on implementing its funding for lending programme (FLP) which will see the Reserve Bank offer low-cost, secured, long-term funding for banks to on-lend to retail customers. Doing so will lower retail interest rates (in a similar manner to a negative OCR) without putting bank deposit funding at risk. The programme will be rolled out in December 2020 and the Reserve Bank expects the size of the programme to reach NZ$28B.
We are entering unchartered territory so it would be amiss to state that anyone knows how this will play out. One of the reasons the Reserve Bank is looking to deploy unconventional monetary policy is because risk factors that threaten to undermine its employment and inflation targets remain present. The economic downturn has not been felt equally by all New Zealand businesses and future growth remains contingent on further stimulus. Current policies continue to point to lower interest rates which should put a floor under asset prices, particularly within housing (with upside potential). Substantial demand remains across both the investor and owner-occupiers’ sectors, and we expect the low interest rate environment to compress yields across the board.
Here at ASAP, we believe in collaborating with our clients. We offer a variety of development finance solutions including joint venture arrangements and underwrites. Talk to one of our expert lending managers today.
The past few months have been a wild ride for those involved in Property Finance. It was only a few months ago that NZ was reeling from nationwide lockdown and mainstream economists were predicting house price declines between 7 and 15 per cent. However, the New Zealand housing market has fared far better than expected, and many economists and lending institutions (including the RBNZ) are now having to revise their forecasts upward.
It would seem that the strength of the government’s fiscal response and RBNZ’s unwavering commitment to keep rates low were largely underestimated. House price data published by REINZ for September 2020 confirmed record breaking volumes and sale prices across the country. For September, median house prices across NZ increased by 14.7% YOY to a new record high of $685,000, while Auckland’s median house price increased by 12.6% YOY to $955,000 (also a new record high).
Perhaps the most obvious shift in buyer sentiment has been visible in auction rooms where bidding wars are now the norm, not the exception. In our experience, properties that have attracted the most attention are those that have immediate development potential or large land holdings (land banking). Developers have come to the realisation that under the unitary plan, townhouse developments can be accommodated on almost any residential zone (with the exception of residential single house). The increase in property values that has occurred over the past six months (particularly for development sites) has been astonishing to witness considering the weakened state of the local economy.
With all eyes on COVID-19 and subsequent rebound, the General Election’s has almost been entirely overlooked by market pundits. As property people, it is important to keep our ears to the ground regarding potential policy changes, limitations, and regulations around the property market. Below we explore the impact elections have historically had on the property market and policy changes that are worth keeping an eye on moving forward.
Past Elections and Their Effects on the Property Market
Historically, the approach of a General Election has always drawn the eyes of investors and owner-occupiers. This is because a change in government can result in changes to policy and regulation that can ultimately impact how people spend their money. Taxes and regulation that are likely to increase the costs of owning property will result in investment away from the sector while an easing of regulation and reduction of costs will incentivise investment.
It is important to note that investor and owner-occupied markets are two different sectors and government policy has similarly made a clear distinction between them. Historically, the investor market has been the focus of regulation and tax adjustments while the owner-occupied market has been largely left alone.
Colliers’ monthly research report on New Zealand’s property market provides interesting insights around the six most recent NZ General Elections. By plotting the total monthly sales, national monthly building consents, and net optimism versus pessimism around the six elections, Colliers uncovered some key statistics.
The 2014 General Election
In 2014, the Labour party promoted a Capital Gains Tax as well as restrictions on the ability of overseas entities to buy Kiwi residential properties. These restrictive policies prompted property investors to take a step back as they grappled with the uncertainty of potential policy changes that could affect their assets.
National opposed Labour’s stance on these policies, and once National won the General Election in 2014, the investment property market surged with renewed vigour.
Colliers cited one particularly interesting statistic, as it sheds light on the differing effects of restrictive policies for investors and owner-occupiers:
“Total mortgage lending to investors increased from $1.167 billion in August 2014, a month prior to the election, to $1.421 billion in October, an increase of 21%. The uplift for first home buyers and other types of owner-occupiers was just 8.6%”.
– Colliers NZ August Research Report
This significant change in investment lending indicates that owner-occupiers did not hold back nearly as severely as investors in the approach to the election, as the new restrictive legislation held no significant barriers.
What about 2020?
For the coming election, predictions are erring towards minimal changes in the property market. At the time of writing, no significant restrictive legislation around property has been brought to light by either of the dominant parties and the notion of a “capital gains” tax appears to have been forgotten. That being said, below we explore some of the policies that are likely to be key determinants for investors and developers over the coming term.
Labours introduced the Healthy Homes Standards in 2019, which set minimum heating, insulation, ventilation, moisture and drainage. The new standards are to apply to new tenancies entered into after 1 July 2021 (and to all rental homes from 2024). This will require investors to upgrade their rental properties if they do not meet the required code.
National says the current government’s Healthy Homes standards are unfair on landlords and should be relaxed. National has also stated that they would repeal the Residential Tenancies Amendment Act including changes to no longer allowing landlords to end a periodic tenancy without a reason. In this sense, a national win would see more favourable terms offered to property investors.
For developers, perhaps the greatest change could come from repealing the Resource Management Act (RMA). The repealing of the RMA has been endorsed by Act and National for some time however in a pollical U-turn, Labour too has put their backing behind this motion. The RMA imposes overly restrictive planning rules on developers and home builders; where replacing the RMA with a separate Environmental Protection and Urban Development Act could see increased development activity and improved housing affordability. Part of this process involves the removing the Metropolitan Urban Limit. Ultimately the effectiveness of any such policy will lie in its delivery.
Beyond the above, it is fair to say that the immediate future of the New Zealand property market resides not in political changes or policy but rather the economic, financial, and demographic changes resulting from COVID-19. Thus far, sales and investment activity has remained strong and we continue to talk to investors and developers as to ways they can leverage their strong cash positions in the low interest rate environment. We expect investment in property to accelerate as the country pulls out of the recession.
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ASAP Finance is the leading non-bank lender for property in New Zealand. Our lending managers are also actively involved in the property market as developers and investors; this makes them ideal partners in your own property development journey. Speak to one of our lending managers about your next residential development or commercial and industrial property loans today.
The loan-to-value ratio (LVR) is one of the most common and widely used metrics in the world of property finance. For financiers, it is broadly used to manage and mitigate credit risk when creating a loan facility. For property developers and investors, understanding LVRs and their application in credit analysis will provide insight as to the likely challenges you will face when seeking a loan, as well as assist in identifying the best finance partner for your project.
It is important to remember that the simple loan-to-value ratio is only one metric used by lenders to assess credit risk. Other considerations extend to: the capacity of the client, past performance, the team of people appointed to the project (and their relevant experience), the form of pertinent contracts, relevant consents and a projects feasibility. Such considerations are generally summarised within the 5Cs of credit.
We’ve created this article to explain LVR’s and their implementation in development finance – enabling you to head into the lending process with your eyes wide open.
The loan-to-value ratio is a percentage that indicates how much of a property’s value is funded by debt vs. borrower’s equity (cash or otherwise). For example, if a property is worth $1,000,000 and the borrower has current borrowings of $800,000 the LVR would be 80%. A higher LVR is typically associated with greater credit risk, as there is less margin of safety for the lender between the funds lent and the property’s value.
Each class of property (residential, investment, commercial, industrial, bare land etc.) has its own unique set of characteristics which influence the risk profile of the property class. In response, and to take the variable risk profile of each asset class into consideration, lenders look to adjust their LVR’s.
For example, most lenders adopt a lower maximum LVR when lending against vacant residential land (50–65%) than they do when lending against a residential dwelling (up to 90%). This is because bare land usually has no holding income, requires improvement to be enjoyed, and has a shallow buyer pool when compared to standard residential property, making it more susceptible to price corrections.
When putting a development loan facility in place, a lender will assess LVR positions both at the start and at the end of the development. A lender will ask:
A development facility can split into an upfront initial advance, and a progress payment facility (used to fund the build). The initial advance is secured against the value of the property on an as-is basis (this tends to be land only). In instances where there is an existing dwelling on site, it is often removed during the early stages of the development to enable civil works; therefore, no value is attributed to it.
A skilled lender will ensure the initial advance LVR falls within an acceptable range for lending against bare land. This is an important metric as it will dictate what funds you will be able to obtain to purchase a property or refinance an existing property before the development commences. At ASAP Finance, this threshold tends to sit between 60-75%.
The second test applied ensures that end (as-if complete) position meets LVR requirements. This is simply the full development facility measured against the ‘As If Complete’ valuation which assumes that the proposed development work is already complete. This is done by obtaining a valuation or assessing the value from plans and specifications against comparable sale data and listing. At ASAP Finance, we lend up to 75% of the completed project value for standard residential developments. Noting that the completed value can be inclusive or exclusive of GST depending on the nature of the project and the client’s intentions.
When calculating LVR’s for a property development you must consider your GST position. If you are in the business (or intend to be in the business) of buying, selling, developing, or building residential properties, then you will likely need to register for GST. This means that all the figures within your project feasibility should be on a GST exclusive basis (including the purchase price and end values of your property).
To calculate the GST exclusive value of a property, simply divide the end value by 1.15. For example, if you are building 8 townhouses worth $1,150,000 each, the assumed end value would be: (1,150,000 x 8 units)/ 1.15 = 8,000,000. As you can see, forgetting to take GST into consideration can have a catastrophic effect on your LVR position.
Maximum LVR thresholds differ significantly between main bank and non-bank lenders. Deposit taking institutions who operate in a heightened regulatory environment (RBNZ) have restrictive funding conditions that result in lower LVR thresholds. In contrast, non-bank lenders (especially those who have access to private funding) have greater flexibility as to the implementation of LVR’s, enabling them to finance projects that would otherwise not get off the ground.
Our independence enables us to work with our clients to customise their loan terms to suit the development they are undertaking. By choosing ASAP Finance, you gain a partner in the development process. We avoid enforcing onerous conditions that are restrictive to funding enabling you to focus on what matters most.
We specialise in development finance – with over 50 years in cumulative development experience across the ASAP team, we offer valuable insight into the viability of a project that other lenders don’t have. All of our lending managers possess real world development experience. We are able to walk alongside you during the development, offering advice and guidance at times when they are needed most.
We partner with investors, developers, and home builders, walking alongside them from application all the way to the completion of the loan. From short-term bridging loans to development financing, our bespoke lending packages are made to get your development off the ground.
Reach out to one of our highly experienced lending managers today to discuss your application ASAP.
When developers are looking for a new build partner, they put their project out to tender. The evaluation process that proceeds is an intense and in-depth review of pricing, relevant experience, past performance, technical skills, resourcing, and other relevant factors. It is these factors that ultimately drive the decision-making process for the developer, ensuring that the right builder is chosen for the job.
Unfortunately, many developers forget to apply a similar process when choosing their funding partners, instead deciding to focus solely on price. This can result in bad outcomes for banks, non-bank lenders, and developers. Remember, the best funding partners are those that impart knowledge and value during the construction process, as well as offering a competitive price.
Nonetheless, having a robust understanding of pricing models and fee structures used by various lenders is an essential tool in a developer’s toolkit. After all, these fees can have a significant impact on a project’s feasibility. In this blog post we will focus on the various fee structures adopted by different lenders, keep in mind that price should not be the only factor one considers when choosing a funding partner.
Fees are often charged in relation to specified loan terms, which can make comparison difficult. An appropriate comparison can only be made using annualised fees and costs.
Luckily, headline interest rates are generally quoted on a per annum basis (i.e. 6.95% per annum). However, other fees fluctuate depending on the loan’s term, so annualising them is useful for accurate comparison. Once fees are annualised, we can then add them to the headline interest rate to calculate a finance rate for any given loan.
An application fee is paid upfront by the Borrower and is typically denominated as a percentage of the total Loan Facility. Application fees can range from 0.5% to 3.0% depending on the lender and the type of facility being provided. Upon commencement of the loan, the application fee is usually capitalised (added to the balance of the loan).
Development facilities are typically provided for a fixed term where the application fee corresponds to the term provided by the lender. If the term of the loan needs to be extended, then the application fee will be charged again (usually on a pro-rata basis). Therefore, it is important to annualise application fees.
Let’s look at an example where a lender provides a development facility of NZ$1M to a developer on the below terms:
Type: Capitalised Interest
Term: 6 months
Rate: 9%
Fee: 2%
Line fee: 0%
In this instance, the annualised application fee can be calculated as follows:
Annualised application fee = application fee / initial term * 12 months.
So, the annualised application fee would be:
2% / 6 * 12 = 4%
To calculate the finance rate, you simply add the headline interest rate per annum (9%) to the annualised application fee (4%), which in this case would imply a finance rate of 13%.
Line fees are charged to compensate the lender for their commitment to lend or for holding unused funds in a facility. As mentioned in our blog on development loan structures, interest is typically only charged on the drawn balance of the loan. Therefore, line fees are a way for lenders to offset the lack of interest income generated during the term of a loan, where the average loan balance is well below facility limit provided by the lender. For example, on a development loan which is drawn down in stages, a lender will typically earn only 60% of the quoted headline interest rate in interest income during a 12-month loan.
The usual cost of a line fee is between 0.25% and 3.0% per annum, with the fee charged against either (a) the undrawn portion of the loan, or (b) against the total facility limit (similar to application fees). Understanding what portion of the loan the fee is being charged against is important as it can materially impact the cost to the Borrower. Furthermore, some lenders will quote you a line fee on monthly terms, while others will quote on yearly terms. For example, a 0.25% monthly line fee may not appear large, but on an annualised basis it amounts to 3% per annum, which is significant in the development world.
It is crucial at this point to state that establishment and line fees are not the only fees that may be payable. More recently, we have seen lenders introduce alternate pricing models that include minimum earn provisions, performance fees and exit fees. Other hidden costs such as site visit fees, drawdown fees and early repayment fees are not uncommon and need to be considered when undertaking a simple cost analysis.
Lastly, it is extremely important to identify and review any funding conditions required by the lender. Things such as valuations, requiring a quantity surveyor to be appointed to the project, or requiring pre-sales may seem appear to be standard funding conditions for development loans, however, each one comes at a specific cost which should be considered.
No matter the structure, it is always best to find a lender that is fully transparent with their clients as to what costs are involved. And remember: “Price is what you pay, value is what you get”.
From property development loans to bridging loans, ASAP Finance offers a bespoke funding solutions that enable you to get your next project out of the ground. All of our lending managers have development experience, so we understand how important it is to be upfront and transparent with our fee structures.
Start your journey to a completed project, and don’t deal with hurdles along the way. Reach out to an ASAP Finance lending manager today.